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Eugene 2012 Power Rankings #5: The Final Countdown To The Olympic Trials


After months of anticipation and speculation, the Olympic Trials are finally here. Now that the entire outdoor season has played itself out (no, Bill O’Reilly, not “play us out”) here are out final distance event power rankings for Eugene 2012.

Disagree with some of our selections? Leave a comment below to participate in the debate!

Men’s 800 meters

1. Nick Symmonds
2. Khadevis Robinson
3. Charles Jock
4. Robby Andrews
5. Duane Solomon
Darkhorse: Erik Sowinski
Others: Ryan Martin, Tyler Mulder, Mike Rutt
Notes: Jock looked strong winning NCAA’s wire-to-wire in a windy 1:45.59; Symmonds and Robinson performed well with a 3-4 finish at the Pre Classic; Sowinski moved from seventh to second over the last 100 meters at NCAA’s, that kick could be dangerous in Eugene; Rutt backed up his strong indoor campaign with an ‘A’ standard run at New York Diamond League.

Women’s 800 meters

1. Alysia Montano
2. Molly Beckwith
3. Maggie Vessey
4. Alice Schmidt
5. Geena Gall
Darkhorse: Phoebe Wright
Others: Nachelle Mackie, Erica Moore , Kate Grace, Latavia Thomas, Charlene Lipsey
Notes: Montano killed it at Pre Classic, running a solo 1:57.37, the second-fastest time in the world this year, she’s the overwhelming favorite for Eugene; Beckwith continued her strong season with a second place finish at the adidas Grand Prix; Schmidt dipped under two minutes at Harry Jerome and is looking strong at both 800 and 1500 meters; Wright quietly ran 2:00.64 in Indy.

Men’s 1500 meters

1. Leo Manzano
2. David Torrence
3. Robby Andrews
4. Andrew Wheating
5. Matt Centrowitz
Darkhorse: Jeff See
Others: Russell Brown, Jordan McNamara, Dorian Ulrey, Nick Symmonds
Notes: Manzano hasn’t been spectacular this spring but has been one of the most consistent; Torrence was top American at Pre and backed it up with a strong third place performance in New York; See legitimized himself with an ‘A’ standard run in Indy; Andrews ran a great 1500 at Oxy, the question is whether he can perfect his 1500 tactics given his inexperience in the event.

Women’s 1500 meters

1. Morgan Uceny
2. Jenny Simpson
3. Shannon Rowbury
4. Alice Schmidt
5. Gabe Anderson
Darkhorse: Nicole Schappert
Others: Anna Pierce, Brenda Martinez, Treniere Moser, Katie Mackey, Katie Flood
Notes: Only the top four women have the ‘A’ standard; Schmidt took the surprise win at Pre Classic in an ‘A’ standard time of 4:05.64; Uceny ran well in Rome but had a poorer performance in Oslo.

Men’s 3000 meter steeplechase

1. Evan Jager
2. Donn Cabral
3. Dan Huling
4. Billy Nelson
5. Kyle Alcorn
Darkhorse: Donnie Cowart
Others: Ben Bruce, Brian Olinger,David Adams, Craig Forys
Notes: Since last rankings, Nelson ran 8:21.42 in Rome; Cowart, a graduate of the Virginia Military Institute, ran 8:26.51 in Indy.

Women’s 3000 meter steeplechase

1. Emma Coburn
2. Bridget Franek
3. Shalaya Kipp
4. Delilah DeCrescenzo
5. Stephanie Garcia
Darkhorse: Aisha Praught
Other: Ashley Higginson, Sara Hall, Mason Cathay, Jamie Cheever
Notes: Coburn blasted a 9:25.28 at Pre Classic, putting herself far and above the previous top U.S. mark; Kipp looked strong in narrow win at NCAA’s over now Aussie Olympian Genevieve LaCaze; Praught took a spill in the NCAA prelim and is hungry for redemption.

Men’s 5000 meters

1. Bernard Lagat
2. Lopez Lomong
3. Galen Rupp
4. Matt Tegenkamp
5. Dathan Ritzenhein
Darkhorse: Andrew Bumbalough
Others: Chris Derrick, Aaron Braun
Notes: Lomong has declared for the 5000 over the 1500 while David Torrence has chosen to focus on the 1500; Lagat bounced back from a disappointing 14th place finish in the Pre mile to win the 1500 in New York; Braun just narrowly missed the ‘A’ standard at the Portland Track Festival.

Women’s 5000 meters

1. Molly Huddle
2. Julia Lucas
3. Jackie Areson
4. Lisa Uhl
5. Amy Hastings
Darkhorse: Abbey D’Agostino
Others: Julie Culley, Jessica Tebo, Liz Maloy, Jen Rhines, Brie Felnagle
Notes: Should be one of the most intriguing races of the Trials; Maloy and Felnagle were top Americans in Pre Classic 3k; despite not having ‘A’ standard D’Agostino won her first NCAA title two weeks ago and has been consistently running well all of 2012.

Men’s 10,000 meters

1. Galen Rupp
2. Matt Tegenkamp
3. Dathan Ritzenhein
4. Chris Derrick
5. Brent Vaughn
Darkhorse: Joseph Chirlee
Others: Ben True, Bobby Curtis, Tim Nelson, Ryan Vail
Notes: The Kenyan-born Chirlee could be the big shock of the Trials having recently been granted ability to run in Eugene and hitting 10k ‘A’ standard in The Netherlands; Derrick struggled over the last 400 meters at the NCAA Championships to finish third in the 10k.

Women’s 10,000 meters

1. Amy Hastings
2. Lisa Uhl
3. Janet Cherobon-Bawcom
4. Alisha Williams
5. Deborah Maier
Darkhorse: Alissa McKaig
Others: Meghan Nelson, Natosha Rogers
Notes: With a number of injuries and scratches, Hastings, Uhl and Cherobon-Bawcom are only ones with ‘A’ standard and intent to run 10k in London, all they need to do is finish the race; Shalane Flanagan will also run as a tune-up for the Olympic marathon.


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  • UOTrackFangirl

    @RunLiao Andrews as #3 in the 1500 when the race is in Eugene???

  • UOTrackFangirl

    @RunLiao my thoughts on top 3 is that AT LEAST one local guy is gonna be top 3. This is TRACK TOWN.

    • RunLiao

      @UOTrackFangirl Fair point. I’m not quite confident in the hometown guys’ ability to close although Wheating did look good in Vancouver.

      • UOTrackFangirl

        @RunLiao I’m looking at McNamara as the local dark horse. Dude wants it BAD. Not too sure about Centro but he’s super competitive

      • UOTrackFangirl

        @RunLiao I’m a little worried about Wheating and Brown

      • UOTrackFangirl

        @RunLiao and then there’s Acosta…you never quite know what he’s capable of until he does it

      • UOTrackFangirl

        @RunLiao everybody wants in and there are only 3 spots. At the very least, it’s gonna be a great race

  • UOTrackFangirl

    @RunLiao however, I do agree with Torrence and possibly Manzano. I like them both

  • UOTrackFangirl

    @RunLiao also, I will be weeping if Wheating doesn’t make the cut. Literally crying.

  • kevinldowning

    @RunLiao They all seem pretty accurate – except for the men’s 1500. Too high on Andrews and not enough love for Centro.

    • RunLiao

      @kevinldowning Fair criticism. The 1500 is so wide open. I could see any of the guys with the A making it.

      • kevinldowning

        @RunLiao Definitely. If he’s in contention with 200 to go, I also like McNamara a lot.

  • GVC

    Tegenkamp over Ritzenhein in the 5k???

    • kevinliao

       @GVC I don’t like it’ll matter. Lagat, Rupp and Lomong are so far and above everyone else in the 5k.