USATF Championships Picks: Men’s Distance

Can Scott Bauhs make his first World track team? (PhotoRun.net)

Part two of my predictions for the USATF Championships this weekend.  For athletes doubling, I’ve assumed the event they are most likely to take part in.  In the case of Andrew Wheating, it seems more likely he will run the 1500 meters given his subpar half-mile showing at the Prefontaine Classic.

800 meters

1. Nick Symmonds, 2. Khadevis Robinson, 3. Tyler Mulder

Symmonds should still take the win despite a poor showing at Pre.  Robby Andrews is the trendy pick coming off his spectacular NCAA win, but I’ve gone with the veterans.  But with another year of development under coach Jason Vigilante, look out for him next year at the Trials.

1500 meters

1. Andrew Wheating, 2. Leo Manzano, 3. Lopez Lomong

These are the three I picked at the start of the season.  Despite Manzano and Lomong both having struggled this year, they are, along with Wheating, the best kickers in the field.  Others like Russell Brown and Will Leer might be in better overall shape, but are not known for running blistering final 100 meters needed to earn a top placing in a tactical race.

5000 meters

1. Bernard Lagat, 2. Chris Solinsky, 3. Andrew Bumbalough

I’m going with Bumbalough in a upset over his teammate Matt Tegenkamp.  Tegenkamp has looked good but not great so far in 2011 while Bumbalough has shown significant improvement under the training of Oregon Track Club coach Jerry Schumacher.  Look for the Georgetown grad to kick it home for third.

10,000 meters

1. Galen Rupp, 2. Tim Nelson, 3. Scott Bauhs

The battle here is for third.  Bobby Curtis ran well at Stanford, where he set a personal best of 27:24, but has struggled as of late at the Healthy Kidney 10k and Adidas Grand Prix 1500.  Scotty Bauhs has been due for a breakthrough as the Chico State alum is now in his third season training at altitude with coach Terrance Mahon and the Mammoth Track Club.

3000 meter steeplechase

1. Dan Huling, 2. Josh McAdams, 3. Billy Nelson

Huling is a step above the rest of the Americans having run away with the USA title and set a PR of 8:13 in 2010.  McAdams is a gamer who seems to run what is needed to make the team despite having slower PR than others.  Newly-signed New Balance athlete Nelson has regained his stride after moving back to Boulder to train under Mark Wetmore.

Topics: Usa Outdoor 2011

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  • Tim O’Neil

    I’m liking Torrence for the 1,500. Just sayin’.

    • http://spikeduppsychedup.com/ Kevin Liao

      Hi Tim,

      Thanks for the comment.

      I’m a huge DT fan as well but his last 100 meters in championship races usually haven’t been great, at least not good enough to make a World team. However, his newfound abilities over 800 meters could change things. The fun thing is we can all make these predictions and end up being totally wrong.

      -Kevin